2024
Amaya, D.J., M.G. Jacox, M.A. Alexander, S.J. Bograd, and L. Jia (2024), Seasonal upwelling forecasts in the California Current System, Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111083 5337-5353, doi:10.1029/2024GL111083. [pdf]
Ward, E.J., S.C. Anderson, L.A.K. Barnett, P.A. English, H.M. Berger, C.J.C. Commander, T.E. Essington, C.J. Harvey, M.E. Hunsicker, M.G. Jacox, K.F. Johnson, S. Large, O.R. Liu, K.E. Richerson, J.F. Samhouri, S.A. Siedlecki, A.O. Shelton, K.A. Somers, and J.T. Watson (2024), Win, lose, or draw: Evaluating dynamical thermal niches of northeast Pacific groundfish, PLOS Climate, doi:10.1371/journal.pclm.0000454. [pdf]
Cluett, A.A., M.G. Jacox, D.J. Amaya, M.A. Alexander, and J.D. Scott (2024), Atmospheric precursors of skillful SST prediction in the Northeast Pacific, Journal of Climate, 37 (20), 5337-5353, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0121.1. [pdf]
Jacox, M.G., D.J. Amaya, and M.A. Alexander (2024), Marine Heatwaves in 2023 [in “State of the Climate in 2023”], Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (8), S167-168, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-24-0100.1. [pdf]
Jacox, M.G., S.J. Bograd, J. Fiechter, M. Pozo Buil, M. Alexander, D. Amaya, N. Cordero Quiros, H. Ding, and R.R. Rykaczewski (2024), Linking upwelling dynamics and subsurface nutrients to projected productivity changes in the California Current System, Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2023GL108096, doi:10.1029/2023GL108096. [pdf]
Jorgensen, E.M., E.L. Hazen, M.G. Jacox, M. Pozo Buil, I. Schroeder, and S.J. Bograd (2024), Physical and biogeochemical phenology of coastal upwelling in the California Current System, Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL108194, doi:10.1029/2024GL108194. [pdf]
Deser, C., A.S. Phillips, M.A. Alexander, D.J. Amaya, A. Capotondi, M.G. Jacox, and J.D. Scott (2024), Future changes in the intensity and duration of marine heat and cold waves: Insights from coupled model intital-condition large ensembles, Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0278.1. [pdf]
Samhouri, J.F., B.E. Feist, M.G. Jacox, O.R. Liu, K. Richerson, E. Steiner, J. Wallace, K. Andrews, L. Barnett, A.H. Beaudreau, L. Bellquist, M. Pozo Buil, M.A. Haltuch, A. Harley, C.J. Harvey, I.C. Kaplan, K. Norman, A. Phillips, L.K. Rasmuson, E.J. Ward, C. Whitmire, and R.L. Selden (2024), Stay or go? Geographic variation in risks due to climate change for fishing fleets that adapt in-place or adapt on-the-move, PLOS Climate, 3(2), e0000285, doi:10.1371/journal.pclm.0000285. [pdf]
Lezama-Ochoa, N., S. Brodie, H. Welch, M.G. Jacox, M. Pozo Buil, J. Fiechter, M. Cimino, B. Muhling, H. Dewar, E.A. Becker, K.A. Forney, D. Costa, S.R. Benson, N. Farchadi, C. Braun, R. Lewison, S.J. Bograd, and E.L. Hazen (2024), Divergent responses of highly migratory species to climate change in the California Current, Diversity and Distributions, 30, e13800, doi:10.1111/ddi.13800. [pdf]
Frawley, T.H., B. Muhling, S. Brodie, H. Blondin, H. Welch, M.G. Arostegui, S.J. Bograd, C.D. Braun, M.A. Cimino, N. Farchadi, E.L. Hazen, D. Tommasi, and M.G. Jacox (2024), Dynamic human, oceanographic, and ecological factors mediate transboundary fishing overlap across the Pacific high seas, Fish and Fisheries, 25, 60-81, doi:10.1111/faf.12791. [pdf]
Hardy, N.A., C. Matuch, Z. Roote, I. George, B.A. Muhling, M.G. Jacox, E.L. Hazen, S.J. Bograd, L.B. Crowder, and S.J. Green (2024), Trait-based analyses reveal global patterns in diverse diets of albacore tuna (Thunnus alalunga), Fish and Fisheries, 25, 268-282, doi:10.1111/faf.12807. [pdf]
2023
Brodie, S., M. Pozo Buil, H. Welch, S.J. Bograd, E.L. Hazen, J.A. Santora, R. Seary, I.D. Schroeder, and M.G. Jacox (2023), Ecological forecasts for marine resource management during climate extremes, Nature Communications, 14, 7701, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-43188-0. [pdf] [press release]
Jacox, M.G., M. Pozo Buil, S. Brodie, M.A. Alexander, D.J. Amaya, S.J. Bograd, C.A. Edwards, J. Fiechter, E.L. Hazen, G. Hervieux, and D. Tommasi (2023), Downscaled seasonal forecasts for the California Current System: Skill assessment and prospects for living marine resource applications, PLOS Climate, 2(10), e0000245, doi:10.1371/journal.pclm.0000245. [pdf]
Mogen, S., N.S. Lovenduski, S. Yeager, L. Keppler, J. Sharp, S.J. Bograd, N. Cordero Quiros, E. Di Lorenzo, E.L. Hazen, M.G. Jacox, and M. Pozo Buil (2023), Skillful multi-month predictions of ecosystem stressors in the surface and subsurface ocean, Earth’s Future, 11, e2023EF003605, doi:10.1029/2023EF003605. [pdf]
Pozo Buil, M., J. Fiechter, M.G. Jacox, S.J. Bograd, and M.A. Alexander (2023), Evaluation of different bias correction methods for dynamical downscaled future projections of the California Current upwelling system, Earth and Space Science, doi:10.1029/2023EA003121. [pdf]
Shi, H., M. Pozo Buil, S.J. Bograd, M. García-Reyes, M.G. Jacox, B.A. Black, W.J. Sydeman, and R.R. Rykaczewski (2023), Future change of summer hypoxia in the coastal California Current, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1205536. [pdf]
Welch, H., M.S. Savoca, S. Brodie, M.G. Jacox, B.A. Muhling, T.A. Clay, M.A. Cimino, S.R. Benson, B.A. Block, M.G. Conners, D.P. Costa, F.D. Jordan, A.W. Leising, C.S. Mikles, D.M. Palacios, S.A. Shaffer, L.H. Thorne, J.T. Watson, R.R. Holser, L. Dewitt, S.J. Bograd, and E.L. Hazen (2023), Impacts of marine heatwaves on top predator distributions are variable but predictable, Nature Communications, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-40849-y. [pdf]
Liu, O.R., E.J. Ward, S.C. Anderson, K.S. Andrews, L.A.K. Barnett, S. Brodie, G. Carroll, J. Fiechter, M.A. Haltuch, C.J. Harvey, E.L. Hazen, P.-Y. Hernvann, M.G. Jacox, I.C. Kaplan, S. Matson, K. Norman, M. Pozo Buil, R.L. Selden, A. Shelton, and J.F. Samhouri (2023), Species redistribution creates unequal outcomes for multispecies fisheries under projected climate change, Science Advances, 9, 33, eadg5468, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adg5468. [pdf]
Alexander, M.A., J.D. Scott, M.G. Jacox, C. Deser, D.J. Amaya, A. Capotondi, and A.S. Phillips (2023), A survey of coastal conditions around the continental US using a high-resolution ocean reanalysis, Progress in Oceanography, 216, 103055, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2023.103055. [pdf]
Vestfals, C.D., K.N. Marshall, N. Tolimieri, M.E. Hunsicker, A.M. Berger, I.G. Taylor, M.G. Jacox, and B.D. Turley (2023), Stage-specific drivers of Pacific hake (Merluccius productus) recruitment in the California Current Ecosystem, Fisheries Oceanography, doi:10.1111/fog.12634. [pdf]
Raghukumar, K., T. Nelson, M.G. Jacox, C. Chartrand, J. Fiechter, G. Chang, L. Cheung, and J. Roberts (2023), Projected cross-shore changes in upwelling induced by offshore wind farm development along the California coast, Communications Earth & Environment, 4, 116, doi:10.17882/94046. [pdf]
Amaya, D.G., M.G. Jacox, M.R. Fewings, V.S. Saba, M.F. Stuecker, R.R. Rykaczewski, A.C. Ross, C.A. Stock, A. Capotondi, C.M. Petrik, S.J. Bograd, M.A. Alexander, W. Cheng, A.J. Hermann, K.A. Kearney, and B.S. Powell (2023), Marine heatwaves need clear definitions so coastal communities can adapt, Nature, 616, 29-32, doi:10.1038/d41586-023-00924-2. [pdf]
Amaya, D.G., M.G. Jacox, M.A. Alexander, J.D. Scott, C. Deser, A. Capotondi, and A. Phillips (2023), Bottom marine heatwaves along the continental shelves of North America, Nature Communications, 14, 1038, doi:10.1038/s41467-023-36567-0. [pdf] [highlight]
Smith, J.A., M. Pozo Buil, B. Muhling, D. Tommasi, S. Brodie, T.H. Frawley, J. Fiechter, S. Koenigstein, A. Himes-Cornell, M.A. Alexander, S.J. Bograd, N. Cordero Quirós, L.B. Crowder, E. Curchitser, S.J. Green, N.A. Hardy, A.C. Haynie, E.L. Hazen, K. Holsman, G. Le Fol, N. Lezama-Ochoa, R.R. Rykaczewski, C.A. Stock, S. Stohs, J. Sweeney, H. Welch, and M.G. Jacox (2023), Projecting climate change impacts from physics to fisheries: a view from three California Current fisheries, Progress in Oceanography, 211, 102973, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2023.102973. [pdf]
McClure M.M., M.A. Haltuch, E. Willis-Norton, D.D. Huff, E.L. Hazen, L.G. Crozier, M.G. Jacox, M.W. Nelson, K.S. Andrews, L.A.K. Barnett, A.M. Berger, S. Beyer, J. Bizzarro, D. Boughton, J.M. Cope, M. Carr, H. Dewar, E. Dick, E. Dorval, J. Dunham, V. Gertseva, C.M. Greene, R.G. Gustafson, O.S. Hamel, C.J. Harvey, M.J. Henderson, C.E. Jordan, I.C. Kaplan, S.T. Lindley, N.J. Mantua, S.E. Matson, M.H. Monk, P. Moyle, C. Nicol, J. Pohl, R.R. Rykaczewski, J.F. Samhouri, S. Sogard, N. Tolimieri, J. Wallace, C. Wetzel, and S.J. Bograd (2023) Vulnerability to climate change of managed stocks in the California Current large marine ecosystem, Frontiers in Marine Science, 10:1103767, doi:10.3389/fmars.2023.1103767. [pdf]
Fennie, H.W., R. Seary, B. Muhling, S.J. Bograd, S. Brodie, M. Cimino, E.L. Hazen, M.G. Jacox, E. McHuron, S. Melin, J. Santora, J. Suca, J. Thayer, A.R. Thompson, P. Warzybok, and D. Tommasi (2023), An anchovy ecosystem indicator of marine predator foraging and reproduction, Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 290, 20222326, doi:10.1098/rspb.2022.2326. [pdf]
Amaya, D. J., M. A. Alexander, J. D. Scott, and M. G. Jacox (2023), An evaluation of high-resolution ocean reanalyses in the California Current System, Progress in Oceanography, 210, 102951, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2022.102951. [pdf] [highlight]
Bograd, S. J., M. G. Jacox, E. L. Hazen, E. Lovecchio, I. Montes, M. Pozo Buil, L. Shannon, W. J. Sydeman, and R. R. Rykaczewski (2023), Climate change impacts on eastern boundary upwelling systems, Annual Reviews of Marine Science, doi:10.1146/annurev-marine-032122-021945. [pdf]
Karp, M., S. Brodie, J. Smith, K. Richerson, R. Selden, O. Liu, B. Muhling, J. Samhouri, L. Barnett, E. Hazen, D. Ovando, J. Fiechter, M.G. Jacox, and M. Pozo Buil (2023), Projecting species distributions using fishery dependent data, Fish and Fisheries, 24(1), 71-92, doi:10.1111/faf.12711. [pdf]
2022
Minobe, S., A. Capotondi, F. Chai, M.G. Jacox, M. Nonaka, and R.R. Rykaczewski (2022), Editorial: North Pacific climate and ecosystem predictability on seasonal to decadal timescales, Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.1111272. [pdf]
Cordero Quirós, N., M.G. Jacox, M. Pozo Buil, and S.J. Bograd (2022), Future changes in eddy kinetic energy in the California Current System from dynamically downscaled climate projections, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2022GL099042. [pdf]
Koenigstein, S., M.G. Jacox, M. Pozo Buil, J. Fiechter, B.A. Muhling, S. Brodie, P. Kuriyama, T.D. Auth, E.L. Hazen, S.J. Bograd, and D. Tommasi (2022), Population projections of Pacific sardine driven by ocean warming and changing food availability in the California Current, ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsac191. [pdf]
Schroeder, I.D., J.A. Santora, N. Mantua, J.C. Field, B.K. Wells, E.L. Hazen, M.G. Jacox, and S.J. Bograd (2022), Habitat compression indices for monitoring ocean conditions and ecosystem impacts within coastal upwelling systems, Ecological Indicators, 144, 109520, doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109520. [pdf]
Thompson, A.R., E.P. Bjorkstedt, S.J. Bograd, J.L. Fisher, E.L. Hazen, A. Leising, J.A. Santora, E.V. Satterthwaite, W.J. Sydeman, M. Alksne, T.D. Auth, S. Baumann-Pickering, N.M. Bowlin, B.J. Burke, E.A. Daly, H. Dewar, J.C. Field, N.T. Garfield, A. Giddings, R. Goericke, J. Hildebrand, C.A. Horton, K.C. Jacobson, M.G. Jacox, et al. (2022), State of the California Current System in 2021: Winter is coming?, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.958727. [pdf]
Frawley, T., B. Muhling, H. Welch, K. Seto, S.-K. Chang, F. Blaha, Q. Hanich, M. Jung. E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, and S. Brodie (2022), Disaggregated longline data reveals functional fishing fleets across the Pacific, One Earth, 5, 1002-1018, doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2022.08.006. [pdf]
Koehn, L., L. K. Nelson, J. F. Samhouri, K. Norman, M. G. Jacox, A. Cullen, J. Fiechter, M. Pozo Buil, and P. S. Levin (2022), Social-ecological vulnerability of fishing communities to climate change: a US West Coast case study, PLOS ONE, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0272120. [pdf]
Brodie, S., J. A. Smith, B. A. Muhling, L. A. Barnett, G. Carroll, P. Fiedler, S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, K. S. Andrews, C. L. Barnes, L. G. Crozier, J. Fiechter, A. Fredston, M. A. Haltuch, C. J. Harvey, E. Holmes, M. A. Karp, O. R. Liu, M. J. Malick, M. Pozo Buil, K. Richerson, C. N. Rooper, J. Samhouri, R. Seary, R. L. Selden, A. R. Thompson, D. Tommasi, E. J. Ward, and I. C. Kaplan (2022), Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions, Global Change Biology, doi:10.1111/gcb.16371. [pdf]
Minobe, S., A. Capotondi, M. G. Jacox, M. Nonaka, and R. R. Rykaczewski (2022), Toward regional marine ecological forecasts using global climate models from subseasonal to decadal timescales: bottlenecks and recommendations, Frontiers in Marine Science, 9:855965, doi:10.3389/fmars.2022.855965. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., M. A. Alexander, D. Amaya, E. Becker, S. J. Bograd, S. Brodie, E. L. Hazen, M. Pozo Buil, and D. Tommasi (2022), Global seasonal forecasts of marine heatwaves, Nature, 604, 486-490, doi:10.1038/s41586-022-04573-9. [link] [pdf] [news & views] [press release]
Mogen, S. C., N. S. Lovenduski, A. R. Dallmann, L. Gregor, A. J. Sutton, S. J. Bograd, N. Cordero Quiros, E. Di Lorenzo, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, M. Pozo Buil, and S. Yeager (2022), Ocean biogeochemical signatures of the North Pacific Blob, Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1029/2021GL096938. [pdf]
Shi, H., F.F. Jin, R. C. J. Wills, M. G. Jacox, D. J. Amaya, B. A. Black, R. R. Rykaczewski, S. J. Bograd, M. Garcia-Reyes, and W. J. Sydeman (2022), Global decline in ocean memory over the 21st century, Sciences Advances, 8(18), eabm3468, doi:10.1126/sciadv.abm3468. [pdf]
Smith, J. A., M. Pozo Buil, J. Fiechter, D. Tommasi, and M. G. Jacox (2022), Projected novelty in the climate envelope of the California Current at multiple spatial-temporal scales, PLOS Climate, 1(4): e0000022, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000022. [pdf]
Amaya, D. J., M. G. Jacox, J. Dias, M. A. Alexander, K. B. Karnauskas, J. D. Scott, and M. Gehne (2022), Subseasonal-to-seasonal forecast skill in the California Current System and its connection to coastal Kelvin waves, Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans. https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017892. [pdf]
Hunsicker, M. E., E. J. Ward, M. A. Litzow, S. C. Anderson, C. J. Harvey, J. C. Field, J. Gao, M. G. Jacox, S. Melin, A. R. Thompson, and P. Warzybok (2022), Tracking and forecasting community responses to climate perturbations in the California Current Ecosystem, PLOS Climate, 1(3): e0000014, https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pclm.0000014. [pdf]
2021
Shi, H., M. García-Reyes, M. G. Jacox, R. R. Rykaczewski, B. A. Black, S. J. Bograd, and W. J. Sydeman (2021), Co-occurrence of California drought and Northeast Pacific marine heatwaves under climate change, Geophysical Research Letters, 48 (17), e2021GL092765. [pdf]
Fiechter, J., M. Pozo Buil, M. G. Jacox, M. A. Alexander, and K. A. Rose (2021), Projected shifts in 21st century sardine distribution and catch in the California Current, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8, 874, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.685241. [pdf]
Weber, E. D., T. Auth, S. Baumann-Pickering, T. R. Baumgartner, E. P Bjorkstedt, S. J. Bograd, B. J. Burke, J. L. Cadena-Ramirez, E. A. Daly, M. de la Cruz, H. Dewar, J. C. Field, J. L. Fisher, A. Giddings, R. Goericke, E. Gomez-Ocampo, J. Gomez-Valdes, E. L. Hazen, J. Hildebrand, C. A. Horton, K. C. Jacobson, M. G. Jacox, et al. (2021), State of the California Current 2019-2020: Back to the future with marine heatwaves?, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.709454. [pdf]
Cimino, M. A., M. G. Jacox, S. J. Bograd, S. Brodie, G. Carroll, E. L. Hazen, B. E. Lavaniagos, M. M. Morales, E. Satterthwaite, and R. R. Rykaczewski (2021), Anomalous poleward advection facilitates episodic range expansions of pelagic red crabs in the eastern North Pacific, Limnology and Oceanography, 66(8), 3176-3189, doi:10.1002/lno.11870. [pdf]
Kearney, K. A., S. J. Bograd, E. Drenkerd, F. Gomez, M. Haltuch, A. J. Hermann, M. G. Jacox, I. Kaplan, S. Koenigstein, J. Luo, M. Masi, B. Muhling, M. Pozo Buil, and P. A. Woodworth-Jefcoats (2021), Using global-scale earth system models for regional fisheries applications, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.622206. [link]
Tommasi, D., Y. deReynier, H. Townsend, C. J. Harvey, W. H. Satterthwaite, K. N. Marshall, I. C. Kaplan, S. Brodie, J. C. Field, E. Hazen, S. Koenigstein, J. Lindsay, K. Moore, B. Muhling, L. Pfeiffer, J. Smith, J. Sweeney, B. Wells, and M. G. Jacox (2021), A case study of connecting fisheries management challenges with models and analysis to support ecosystem-based management in the California Current Ecosystem, Frontiers in Marine Science, 8:62416, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.624161. [pdf]
Drenkard, E., C. Stock, A. Adcroft, M. Alexander, V. Balaji, S. J. Bograd, M. Butenschon, W. Cheng, E. Curchitser, E. Di Lorenzo, K. W. Dixon, R. Dussin, A. Haynie, M. Harrison, A. Hermann, A. Hollowed, K. Holsman, J. Holt, M. G. Jacox, C. J. Jang, K. A. Kearney, B. A. Muhling, M. Pozo Buil, A. C. Ross, A. Britt Sando, D. Tommasi, and M. Wang (2021), Next-generation regional ocean projections for living marine resource management in a changing climate, ICES Journal of Marine Science, doi:10.1093/icesjms/fsab100. [pdf]
Pozo Buil, M., M. G. Jacox, J. Fiechter, M. A. Alexander, S. Bograd, E. N. Curchitser, C. A. Edwards, R. R. Rykaczewski, and C. A. Stock (2021). A dynamically downscaled ensemble of future projections for the California Current System, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.612874. [pdf]
Brodie, S., B, Abrahms, S. J. Bograd, G. Carroll, E. Hazen, B. Muhling, M. Pozo Buil, J. Smith, H. Welch, and M. G. Jacox (2021). Exploring timescales of predictability in species distributions, Ecography, 44(6), 832-844, doi:10.1111/ecog.05504. [pdf]
Smith. J. A., D. Tommasi, H. Welch, E. L. Hazen, J. Sweeney, S. Brodie, B. Muhling, S. Stohs, and M. G. Jacox (2021). Comparing dynamic and static time-area closures for bycatch mitigation: a management strategy evaluation of a swordfish fishery, Frontiers in Marine Science, doi:10.3389/fmars.2021.630607. [pdf]
Ding, H., M. A. Alexander, and M. G. Jacox (2021). Role of geostrophic currents in future changes of coastal upwelling in the California Current System, Geophysical Research Letters, 48(3), doi:10.1029/2020GL090768. [pdf]
Smith, J. A., B. Muhling, J. Sweeney, D. Tommasi, M. Pozo Buil, J. Fiechter, and M. G. Jacox (2021), The potential impact of a shifting Pacific sardine distribution on U.S. West Coast landings, Fisheries Oceanography, 30(4), 437-454, doi:10.1111/fog.12529. [pdf] [press release]
Frawley, T., B. Muhling, S. Brodie, M. Fisher, D. Tommasi, G. Le Fol, E. L. Hazen, S. Stohs, E. Finkbeiner, and M. G. Jacox (2021), Changes to the structure and function of an albacore fishery reveal shifting social-ecological realities for Pacific Northwest fishermen, Fish and Fisheries, 22, 280-297, doi:10.1111/faf.12519. [pdf] [highlight]
2020
Evans, N., I. D. Schroeder, M. Pozo Buil, M. G. Jacox, and S. J. Bograd (2020), Drivers of subsurface deoxygenation in the California Current System, Geophysical Research Letters, 47, doi:10.1029/2020GL089274. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., M. A. Alexander, S. J. Bograd, and J. D. Scott (2020), Thermal displacement by marine heatwaves, Nature, 584, 82–86, doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2534-z. [link] [pdf] [news & views] [press release]
Muhling, B., S. Brodie, J. A. Smith, D. Tommasi, C. F. Gaitan, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, T. D. Auth, and R. D. Brodeur (2020), Predictability of species distributions deteriorates under novel environmental conditions in the California Current System, Frontiers in Marine Science, 7, 589, doi:10.3389/fmars.2020.00589. [pdf]
Cimino, M. A, J. A. Santora, I. Schroeder, W. Sydeman, M. G. Jacox, E. L. Hazen, and S. J. Bograd (2020), Essential krill species habitat resolved by seasonal upwelling and ocean circulation models within the large marine ecosystem of the California Current System, Ecography, 43, 1-15, doi:10.1111/ecog.05204. [pdf]
Welch, H., S. Brodie, M. G. Jacox, D. Robinson, C. Wilson, S. J. Bograd, M. J. Oliver, and E. L. Hazen (2020), Decision support tools for dynamic management, Conservation Biology, 34, 589-599, doi:10.1111/cobi.13417. [pdf]
Becker, E. A., J. V. Carretta, K. A. Forney, J. Barlow, S. Brodie, R. Hoopes, M. G. Jacox, S. M. Maxwell, J. V. Redfern, N. B. Sisson, H. Welch, and E. L. Hazen (2020), Performance evaluation of cetacean species distribution models developed using generalized additive models and boosted regression trees, Ecology and Evolution, 10, 5759-5784, doi:10.1002/ece3.6316. [pdf]
Aalto, E. A., K. D. Lafferty, S. H. Sokolow, R. E. Grewelle, T. Ben-Horin, C. A. Boch, P. T. Raimondi, S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, F. Micheli, and G. A. De Leo (2020), Models with environmental drivers offer a plausible mechanism for the rapid spread of infectious disease outbreaks in marine organisms, Scientific Reports, 10, 5975, doi:10.1038/s41598-020-62118-4. [pdf]
Welch, H., S. Brodie, M. G. Jacox, D. Robinson, C. Wilson, S. J. Bograd, M. J. Oliver, and E. L. Hazen (2020), Considerations for transferring an operational dynamic ocean management tool between ocean color products, Remote Sensing of Environment, 242, 111753, doi:10.1016/j.rse.2020.111753. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., M. A. Alexander, S. Siedlecki, K. Chen, Y.-O. Kwon, S. Brodie, I. Ortiz, D. Tommasi, M. J. Widlansky, D. Barrie, A. Capotondi, W. Cheng, E. Di Lorenzo, C. Edwards, J. Fiechter, P. Fratantoni, E. L. Hazen, A. J. Hermann, A. Kumar, A. J. Miller, D. Pirhalla, M. Pozo Buil, S. Ray, S. C. Sheridan, A. Subramanian, P. Thompson, L. Thorne, H. Annamalai, K. Aydin, S. J. Bograd, R. B. Griffis, K. Kearney, H. Kim, A. Mariotti, M. Merrifield, and R. Rykaczewski (2020), Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments, Progress in Oceanography, doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2020.102307. [pdf]
Smith, J. A., D. Tommasi, J. Sweeney, S. Brodie, H. Welch, E. L. Hazen, B. Muhling, S. M. Stohs, and M. G. Jacox (2020), Lost opportunity: Quantifying the dynamic economic impact of time-area fishery closures, Journal of Applied Ecology, 57(3), 502-513, doi:10.1111/1365-2664.13565. [pdf]
Haltuch, M. A., N. Tolimieri, Q. Lee, and M. G. Jacox (2020), Oceanographic drivers of petrale sole recruitment in the California Current Ecosystem, Fisheries Oceanography, 29, 122-136, doi:10.1111/fog.12459. [pdf]
2019
Thompson, A. R., I. D. Schroeder, S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, et al. (2019), State of the California Current 2018-19: A novel anchovy regime and a new marine heatwave?, CalCOFI Reports, 60, 1-65. [pdf]
Muhling, B., S. Brodie, M. G. Jacox, O. Snodgrass, H. Dewar, D. Tommasi, C. Edwards, Y. Xu, S. Snyder, and J. Childers (2019), Dynamic habitat use of albacore and their primary prey species in the California Current System, CalCOFI Reports, 60, 79-93. [pdf]
Hazen, E.L., B. Abrahms, S. Brodie, G. Carroll, M. G. Jacox, M. S. Savoca, K. L. Scales, W. J. Sydeman, and S. J. Bograd (2019), Marine top predators as climate and ecosystem sentinels, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 17(10), 565-574. [pdf]
Capotondi, A., M. G. Jacox, et al. (2019), Observational needs supporting marine ecosystem modeling and forecasting: From the global ocean to regional and coastal systems, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 623, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00623. [pdf]
Schmidt, J. O, S. J. Bograd, H. Arrizabalaga, S. J. Barbeaux, J. A. Barth, T. Boyer, S. Brodie, S. Cross, J.-N. Druon, A. Fransson, J. Hartog, E. Hazen, A. Hobday, M. G. Jacox, et al., Future ocean observations to connect climate, fisheries, and marine ecosystems, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6, 550, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00550. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., D. Tommasi, M. A. Alexander, G. Hervieux, and C. Stock (2019), Predicting the evolution of the 2014-16 California Current System marine heatwave from an ensemble of coupled global climate forecasts, Frontiers in Marine Science, 6:497, doi:10.3389/fmars.2019.00497. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G. (2019), Marine heatwaves in a changing climate, Nature, 571, 485-487, doi:10.1038/d41586-019-02196-1. [pdf]
Abrahms, B., H. Welch, S. Brodie, M. G. Jacox, E. A. Becker, S. J. Bograd, L. M. Irvine, D. M. Palacios, B. R. Mate, and E. L. Hazen (2019), Dynamic ensemble models to predict distributions and anthropogenic risk exposure for highly mobile species, Diversity and Distributions, 25(8), 1182-1193, doi:10.1111/ddi.12940. [pdf]
Thompson, A. R., C. J. Harvey,W. J. Sydeman, C. Barceló, S. J. Bograd, R. D. Brodeur, J. Fiechter, J. C. Field, N. Garfield, T. P. Good, E. L. Hazen, M. E. Hunsicker, K. Jacobson, M. G. Jacox, et al. (2019), Indicators of pelagic forage community shifts in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem, 1998-2016, Ecological Indicators, 105, 215-228. [pdf]
Bograd, S. J., I. D. Schroeder, and M. G. Jacox (2019), A water mass history of the southern California Current System, Geophysical Research Letters, 46, 6690-6698, doi:10.1029/2019GL082685. [pdf]
Becker, E. A., K. A. Forney, J. V. Redfern, J. Barlow, M. G. Jacox, J. J. Roberts, and D. M. Palacios (2019), Predicting cetacean abundance and distribution in a changing climate, Diversity and Distributions, 25(4) 626-643, doi:10.1111/ddi.12867. [pdf]
Abrahms, B., E. L. Hazen, E. O. Aikens, M. S. Savoca, J. Goldbogen, S. J. Bograd, M. G. Jacox, L. M. Irvine, D. M. Palacios, and B. R. Mate (2019), Memory and resource tracking drive blue whale migrations, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(12), 5582-5587, doi:10.1073/pnas.1819031116. [pdf]
Brady, R. X., N. S. Lovenduski, M. A. Alexander, M. G. Jacox, and N. Gruber (2019), On the role of climate models in modulating the air-sea CO2 fluxes in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems, Biogeosciences, 16, 329-346, doi:10.5194/bg-16-329-2019. [pdf]
Welch, H., E. L. Hazen, D. K. Briscoe, S. J. Bograd, M. G. Jacox, T. Eguchi, S. R. Benson, C. C. Fahy, T. Garfield, D. Robinson, J. A. Seminoff, and H. Bailey (2019), Environmental indicators to reduce loggerhead turtle bycatch offshore of Southern California, Ecological Indicators, 98, 657-664, doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.11.001. [pdf]
Welch, H., E. L. Hazen, S. J. Bograd, M. G. Jacox, S. Brodie, D. Robinson, K. L. Scales, L. Dewitt, and R. L. Lewison (2019), Practical considerations for operationalizing dynamic management tools, Journal of Applied Ecology, 56, 459-469, doi:10.1111/1365‐2664.13281. [pdf]
Hervieux, G., M. A. Alexander, C. A. Stock, M. G. Jacox, K. Pegion, E. Becker, F. Castruccio, and D. Tommasi (2019), More reliable coastal SST forecasts from the North American Multimodel Ensemble, Climate Dynamics, 53(12), 7153-7168, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3652-7. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., M. A. Alexander, C. A. Stock, and G. Hervieux (2019), On the skill of seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts in the California Current System and its connection to ENSO variability, Climate Dynamics, 53(12), 7519-7533, doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3608-y. [pdf]
2018
Jacox, M. G., C. A. Edwards, E. L. Hazen, and S. J. Bograd (2018), Coastal upwelling revisited: Ekman, Bakun, and improved upwelling indices for the U.S. west coast, Journal of Geophysical Research, doi:10.1029/2018JC014187. [pdf]
Scales, K. L., E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, F. Castruccio, S. M. Maxwell, R. L. Lewison, and S. J. Bograd (2018), Fisheries bycatch risk to marine megafauna is intensified in Lagrangian coherent structures, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, doi:10.1073/pnas.1801270115. [pdf]
Kahru, M., M. G. Jacox, and M. D. Ohman (2018), Decrease in the frequency of oceanic fronts and surface chlorophyll concentration in the California Current System during the 2014-2016 northeast Pacific warm anomalies, Deep Sea Research Part I, doi:10.1016/j.dsr.2018.04.007. [pdf]
Thompson, A. R., I. D. Schroeder, S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, et al. (2018), State of the California Current 2017-18: Still not quite normal in the North and getting interesting in the south, CalCOFI Reports, 59, 1-66. [pdf]
Brodie, S., M. G. Jacox, S. J. Bograd, H. Welch, H. Dewar, K. L. Scales, S. M. Maxwell, D. M. Briscoe, C. A. Edwards, L. B. Crowder, R. L. Lewison, and E. L. Hazen (2018), Integrating dynamic subsurface habitat metrics into species distribution models, Frontiers in Marine Science, 5, 219, doi:10.3389/fmars.2018.00219. [pdf]
Crawford, W., A. M. Moore, M. G. Jacox, J. Fiechter, E. Neveu, and C. A. Edwards (2018), A resonant response of the California Current circulation to forcing by low frequency climate variability, Deep Sea Research Part II, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2017.07.016. [pdf]
Siegelman-Charbit, L., J. A. Koslow, M. G. Jacox, E. L. Hazen, S. J. Bograd, E. F. Miller, and J. A. McGowan (2018), Physical forcing on fish abundance in the southern California Current System, Fisheries Oceanography, 27, 475–488, doi:10.1111/fog.12267. [pdf]
Tolimieri, N., M. Haltuch, Q. Lee, M. G. Jacox, and S. J. Bograd (2018), Oceanographic drivers of sablefish recruitment in the California Current, Fisheries Oceanography, 27, 458-474, doi:10.1111/fog.12266. [pdf]
Turi, G., M. A. Alexander, N. Lovenduski, A. Capotondi, J. D. Scott, C. A. Stock, J. P. Dunne, J. John, and M. G. Jacox (2018), Response of O2 and pH to ENSO in the California Current System in a high resolution global climate model, Ocean Science, 14(1), 69-86, doi:10.5194/os-14-69-2018. [pdf]
2017
Jacox, M. G., M. A. Alexander, N. J. Mantua, J. D. Scott, G. Hervieux, R. S. Webb, and F. E. Werner (2017), Forcing of multiyear extreme ocean temperatures that impacted California Current living marine resources in 2016 [in “Explaining extreme events of 2016 from a climate perspective”], Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98, S27-S33, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-17-0119.1. [pdf] [Supplemental Information] [Press Release]
Wells, B. K., I.D. Schroeder, S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, et al. (2017), State of the California Current 2016-17: Still anything but “normal” in the north, CalCOFI Reports, 58, 1-55. [pdf]
Scales, K., E. L. Hazen, S. Maxwell, H. Dewar, S. Kohin, M. G. Jacox, C. A. Edwards, D. Briscoe, L. Crowder, R. Lewison, and S. J. Bograd (2017), Fit to predict? Ecoinformatics for predicting the catchability of a pelagic fish in near real-time, Ecological Applications, 27, 2313–2329, doi:10.1002/eap.1610. [pdf]
Moore, A. M., M. G. Jacox, W. Crawford, B. Laughlin, C. A. Edwards, and J. Fiechter (2017), The impact of the ocean observing system on estimates of the California Current circulation spanning three decades, Progress in Oceanography, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2017.05.009. [pdf]
Scales, K. L., E. L. Hazen, M. G. Jacox, C. A. Edwards, M. J. Oliver, and S. J. Bograd (2017), Scales of inference: On the sensitivity of habitat models for wide-ranging marine predators to the spatial and temporal resolution of environmental data, Ecography, 40, 210-220, doi:10.1111/ecog.02272. [pdf]
2016
McClatchie, S., R. Goericke, A. Leising, T. D. Auth, E. Bjorkstedt, R. R. Robertson, R. D. Brodeur, X. Du, E. A. Daly, C. Morgan, F. P Chavez, A. J. Debich, J. Hildebrand, J. Field, K. Sakuma, M. G. Jacox, M. Kahru, R. Kudela, C. Anderson, B. E. Lavaniegos, J. Gomez-Valdes, S. P. A. Jiminez-Resenberg, R. McCabe, S. R. Melin, M. D. Ohman, L. M. Sala, B. Peterson, J. Fisher, I. D. Schroeder, S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, S. R. Schneider, R. T. Golightly, R. M. Suryan, A. J. Gladics, S. Loredo, J. M. Porquez, A. R. Thompson, E. D. Weber, W. Watson, V. Trainer, P. Warzybok, R. Bradley, and J. Jahncke (2016), State of the California Current 2015-16: Comparisons with the 1997-98 El Niño, CalCOFI Reports, 57. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., E. L. Hazen, K. D. Zaba, D. L. Rudnick, C. A. Edwards, A. M. Moore, and S. J. Bograd (2016), Impacts of the 2015-2016 El Niño on the California Current System: Early assessment and comparison to past events, Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 7072-7080, doi:10.1002/2016GL069716. [pdf] [Supplemental Information] [Press Release] [EOS Spotlight]
Jacox, M. G., E. L. Hazen, and S. J. Bograd (2016), Optimal environmental conditions and anomalous ecosystem responses: Constraining bottom-up controls of phytoplankton biomass in the California Current System, Scientific Reports, 6, 27612, doi:10.1038/srep27612. [pdf] [Supplemental Information]
Neveu, E., A. M. Moore, C. A. Edwards, J. Fiechter, P. Drake, M. G. Jacox, and E. Nuss (2016), A historical analysis of the California Current using ROMS 4D-Var. Part I: System configuration and diagnostics, Ocean Modelling, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.11.012. [pdf]
2015
Jacox, M. G., S. J. Bograd, E. L. Hazen, and J. Fiechter (2015), Sensitivity of the California Current nutrient supply to wind, heat, and remote ocean forcing, Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 5950-5957, doi:10.1002/2015GL065147. [pdf] [Supplemental Information]
Kahru, M., M. G. Jacox, Z. Lee, R. M. Kudela, M. Manzano-Sarabia, and B. G. Mitchell (2015), Optimized multi-satellite merger of primary production estimates in the California Current using inherent optical properties, Journal of Marine Systems, 147, 94-102, doi:10.1016/j.marsys.2014.06.003. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., J. Fiechter, A. M. Moore, and C. A. Edwards (2015), ENSO and the California Current coastal upwelling response, Journal of Geophysical Research, 120, 1691-1702, doi:10.1002/2014JC010650. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., C. A. Edwards, M. Kahru, D. Rudnick, and R. M. Kudela (2015), The potential for improving remote primary productivity estimates through subsurface chlorophyll and irradiance measurement, Deep-Sea Research Part II, 112, 107-116, doi:10.1016/j.dsr2.2013.12.008. [pdf]
2011-2014
Jacox, M. G., A. M. Moore, C. A. Edwards, and J. Fiechter (2014), Spatially resolved upwelling in the California Current System and its connections to climate variability, Geophysical Research Letters, 41, 3189-3196, doi:10.1002/2014GL059589. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G. and C. A. Edwards (2012), Upwelling source depth in the presence of nearshore wind stress curl, Journal of Geophysical Research, 117, C05008, doi:10.1029/2011JC007856. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G. and C. A. Edwards (2011), Effects of stratification and shelf slope on nutrient supply in coastal upwelling regions, Journal of Geophysical Research, 116, C03019, doi:10.1029/2010JC006547. [pdf]
Other Publications
Kojima A., T. Kilpatrick, M. Jacox, J. Tourjé-Maldonado, B. Valdez, and J. Cabrera (2024), Observational and modeling approaches for assessing impacts of offshore wind development on California Current upwelling: Workshop Summary – March 4, 2024. Workshop report prepared by Kearns & West for the U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, Pacific Regional Office, Camarillo, CA. 24 p. Report No.: OCS Study BOEM 2024-049. [pdf]
Harvey, C., N. Garfield, G. Williams, K. Andrews, C. Barceló, K. Barnas, S. Bograd, R. Brodeur, B. Burke, J. Cope, L. deWitt, J. Field, J. Fisher, C. Greene, T. Good, E. Hazen, D. Holland, M. Jacox, et al. (2017), Ecosystem Status Report of the California Current for 2017: A Summary of Ecosystem Indicators Compiled by the California Current Integrated Ecosystem Assessment Team (CCIEA). U.S. Department of Commerce, NOAA Technical Memorandum NMFS-NWFSC-139. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., D. L. Rudnick, and C. A. Edwards (2017), Dominant physical mechanisms driving ecosystem response to ENSO in the California Current System, US Clivar Variations, 15(1), 22-26. [pdf]
Tommasi, D., M. G. Jacox, M. A. Alexander, S. Siedlecki, F. E. Werner, C. A. Stock, and N. A. Bond (2017), Seasonal forecasts of ocean conditions in the California Current Large Marine Ecosystem, US Clivar Variations, 15(1), 41-46. [pdf]
Moore, A. M., C. A. Edwards, J. Fiechter, and M. G. Jacox (2015), Observing system impacts on estimates of California Current transport, in Coastal Ocean Observing Systems: Advances and Syntheses, edited by Liu, Kerkering and Weisberg, pp. 351-372, Elsevier Inc.
Edwards, C. A., A. M. Moore, J. P. Mattern, J. Fiechter, H. Song, and M. G. Jacox (2015), Hindcasting and nowcasting the physical and biological state of the California Current System, CalCOFI Rep., 56. [pdf]
Jacox, M. G., Controls on primary productivity and its measurement in the California Current System (2012), PhD Dissertation, University of California, Santa Cruz.
Jacox, M. G. and M. L. Powers (2010), Science on Sunday: the prospective graduate student workshop in ocean science, in Astronomical Society of the Pacific Conference Series 436, Learning from Inquiry in Practice, pp. 247-257, edited by L. Hunter & A. J. Metevier, ASP, San Francisco, CA. [pd7